Can Merab Dvalishvili Make History at UFC 323 — Four Title Defenses in One Year?

As the lamps dim at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on December 6, 2025, the atmosphere is filled with excitement at the upcoming UFC 323, a card with a championship full of intrigue. At the centre of the show is a bantamweight title fight that is destined to be full of gritty action as well as chess: the currently undefeated champion, an unstoppable Georgian, will face a Russian slugger whose accuracy has been a terror to the divisional competition.

It is not a follow-up on their confrontation in 2023 but a historical turning point in the history of mixed martial arts. The champion comes in with three consecutive defences already written in the books this year, and is set to accomplish what no UFC titleholder has done before, which is four wins in a row against the best in the business.

His 34 years make that an inassailable machine, yet the opponent, fully healed now and hungry, is a menace that can break that heritage in a flash. What transpires may reshape the 135-pound picture, plunging one combatant into immortality and sending the other hotly chasing buying-back.

A Relentless Rise: Tracing the Champion’s Unyielding Path

The path the champion has taken to this cliff has been a masterpiece of perseverance, having been tested in the harsh fires of the wrestling culture of Georgia and on the harsh canvas of the Octagon. Being born into a culture where fighting is an integral part of the national identity, he commenced combat training at a tender age, trying to master such outdated approaches as kartuli ch’idaoba and sambo before starting to learn mixed martial arts.

He was a newcomer to the United States, and to support himself, he worked on construction and went through strenuous training until those days in the initial stages of the UFC, when he made some unrefined choices that made him an ironclad. Defeats to a split and a submission during his first two appearances in the Octagon only added to his development; since that time, he has won 14 fights in a row to lead the top.

The climax came when he beat the long-established titleholder in a five-round majority decision on September 14, 2024, at UFC 306, which won him the bantamweight title with an exhibition of implacable pressure.

That was no longer a fluke, but the end product of a style that is based on endurance as its weapon. Fighting with over 6 major strikes per minute and a takedown rate of 38 per cent, he does not fight; he overwhelms. His cardio has been said to be bottomless, and he is able to run at full speed until he reaches the championships, and the non-punches take their toll on his opponent.

This year, per se, has stretched that formula. He defeated an undefeated up-and-coming star in Dagestani wrestling on January 18, 2025, at UFC 311, and was able to grind out a unanimous decision in a Fight of the Night thriller that saw him go after 22 takedowns. A rematch against his former opponent became a statement by June 7, at UFC 316, a third-round north-south choke submission, which earned him Performance of the Month, stopping the momentum of the challenger.

On October 4, he defended his title in another unanimous decision in UFC 320, surviving an experienced grappler, to tie the divisional record with consecutive defences, and set his own UFC record with 20 takedowns in a single title match. He is the division apex predator with 117 career takedowns, the most in UFC history, and is ranked third pound-for-pound.

His physical build is an astounding one: 5’6″ and having a reach of 68 inches, he has explosive power in a small size; his orthodox pose concealing false level changes. The emphasis is on volume in training camps, and the war is simulated to five rounds to make sure that the gas tank is never drained. His readiness to fight quarterly in a sport in which champions frequently rest on their laurels is another indication of a devotion to dominance, and it borders on the superhuman.

The Challenger advantage: Precision Striking vs Half-Baked Business

However, despite all his clockwork, the champion has a stylistic foil, which might take advantage of all his weaknesses. The challenger is a 32-year-old Russian with a 19-5 record, a former titleist who won his last three fights in a row, giving him a new burst of fire.

His style can be likened to that of a scalpel of surgeon: 54% of hits of great significance with a clean mix of both boxing and cracking knees and elbows that have brought down legends. His height, 5’7, except that he has a reach advantage of 71 inches, which makes him very hard to remove from the pocket, as he goes around the opponents with the feints, then delivers a combination of punches that aim at the body and head in a surgical way.

It was on March 11, 2023, when they first collided that the challenger appeared weak, and he promised to close the loopholes. With unknown injuries, he was smothered, and he took in 147 significant strikes and absorbed half of 50 takedown attempts. However, redemption boils over; the recent triumphs over a submission expert, a knockout artist, and an up-and-coming prospect demonstrate tightened takedown defence, at 75%, and a new focus on early finishes.

He comes in at +370 odds, being an underdog who hopes that his fight IQ will determine range. It is observed by experts that he can withstand pressure: by stuffing entries and landing counters, he could bring the champion to his feet, and do there where his strength was at work. An early body shot, such as that used in knockouts in the past, could drain that mythical strength and turn the tide in a division which is sick of continuous grind.

The difficulty is multitasking. The forward steps of the champion cover distances Yan has been using, yet, unless the Russian retains his 10-takedown ceiling as one Hall of Famer foresees, the fight remains on its feet, with his 7 knockouts towering above it. Fatigue is not his friend; in three consecutive rulings, he has proved to stay calm under pressure. This sequel is not revenge, but reclaiming, an attempt to remind the world why he used to be crowned as a king.

Experts: Verdict, Style, and Victory

Dividing it, its figures are skewed heavily toward the champion: a -485 favourite as an indicator of his 85% takedown defence against elite wrestlers and zero first-round finishes against any in recent years. Nonetheless, the challenger has an easy way out, namely, reduce grappling to less than 10 attempts, according to analytical dissection, and use his 48% takedown success rate as a reason to spontaneously sprawl.

The MMA community is 80% predicting the Georgian to win by decision with references to his improvement in striking volume (up 15% since 2023) and unquestioned cardio. One old-time analyst cautions, though, that a healthy challenger might also mimic previous upsets and will send 4.5 major blows per minute to break rhythm. Simulations are 65 to 35 to decision, and 35 to 65 to knockout, but the 35 to 65 to knockout window is in favour of the power of Yan in case he can survive the storm.

The Bantamweight Horizon and Legacy Echoes of Eternity

In the event of a case where the champion wins, the wave of impact would reverberate on the history of UFC. A 2025 that would reach the standards of light heavyweight icons that had three in a year would make him the bantamweight GOAT and even surpass his training partner in divisional record.

It places him third in pound-for-pound listings, which in turn takes him a step closer to all-time greatness, and creates a new wave of action in a division that previously had a lack of it. Opponents, such as a young flyweight sensation or a comeback grappler, would queue up, but his blueprint of wrestling, combined with an untiring will reinvents championship standards.

The outburst of a challenger, on the contrary, breaks the story. It reveals the strains of his hectic timetable, which may put him on the sidelines to rest and pave the way for the three-win streak holder to resume his reign. The division is already a shark tank, but parity hits: the rematches are in a row, new blood is coming, and it is time to remember that no machine is invincible.

On the eve of UFC 323, history is on the line. In a game with limited fuel, the infinite engine of one man is crashed against another with a sharpened blade. The winner not only wins gold, but s/he also writes his/her name in the stars, never to be changed ever again in the bantamweight tapestry.

Griffin Hill

Griffin provides thoughtful takeaways, bout analysis, and Sports news while spotlighting rising talent across major promotions & he is full time writer in ESPN & have 9 year of experience in sports journalism.